WOW, mortgage rates improved over the last few days, fueled by the major drop in Oil, and our old friend Italy is back in the news with a collapsing economy, which has the potential of taking down the EU. And then Trade Wars are back, with the US threatening 25% tariffs on electronics made in China. And lets not forget Israel & Iran trading shots. All of these items and pushing traders into bonds, which will drive down mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates are pretty stuck in a narrow trading band, and really economic news is going to be ignored this week as all eyes are going to focus on Iran and Oil. If Oil takes a spike that will be bad negative for interest rates, because it directly influences inflation, but if there is a hint of a military conflict, then traders will go to bonds, thus balancing out the two trades.

And rates continue to worsen, this will make 2nd week in a row rates have increased, and right now there is no sign of stopping. Lots of inflation news and the 10 year Bond it almost over the 3% mark, which is all trending towards another step towards 5%. REALLY watch Monday's PCE or Personal Consumption Expenditures data, this is a major inflation number and one the Fed will really look at.
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