Mortgage rates in Boise simmering.

Mortgage rates ticked up last week. With us up .05 of a point and that is .10 for the last 2 weeks. It is all about China and Trade, again. As the stock market is rolling and hitting new highs each week, investors are putting their money into Stocks and out of Bonds and Mortgage Backed Securities. Again, no use talking about technicals or data (although new home sales were up 1.3% M/M) and traders are going to focus on Trump, Tariffs & Tweets over the next 2 weeks.

Also, don't forget:

• VA removed ALL Loan limits as of 1/1/2020.
• FHA loan limits are now $366,850,
• Conventional Loan limits are $510,400,
• High Balance Conventional is $765,500, and
• Jumbo is anything over $765,501 Merry Christmas to you all!

Mortgage rates in Idaho worsened last week, as the Trump Admin and China looks like they have made a trade deal, or atleast Phase 1.  I indicated a few months back that I felt the closer we got to the election the more likely a trade deal would get done.  I really feel that this deal was pushed up to front run the impeachment hearings...but what ever.

The bond market and stock market really are not looking at economic numbers and is focusing on Trade, so no use speaking about numbers today (housing, unemployment, inflation).  I will speak about the pending recession, when ever that may happen.  Two talking heads spoke last week, pushing the recession out of 2020 and into 2021, and with the pending Trade Deal, 2020 is looking REALLY GOOD for economic growth.

Watch for the details to come out of the Trade Deal, this will really either set the stock market on FIRE, and thus mortgage rates will continue to go up.  OR if it is like the deal with Mexico/Canada, which is flaking out, then we could see stocks sell off and mortgage rate improve.

Mortgage Rates in Boise & Nampa made a GREAT run lower last week, hitting 24 month lows on Wednesday, only to pull back on Friday. Today we are looking to make a run lower again home loan rates as the news media look towards the 3T again, with Trump Tweeting about Tariffs with a meeting with China coming up. If the meeting goes well, this could spell the end of good rates as any movement in tariffs easing with cause stock market to rally. On the flip side, if Trump storms out of meeting, and Tariffs stay in place we would see a sell off in Stocks and Interest rates would improve. Watch the news!

Mortgage rates slide again last week, although giving some of it back today. Pending the 3T's (Trump, Tweets & Tariffs), most of the economic news should be mortgage rate friendly this week. We are seeing conventional hovering in the high 3's and government (FHA/VA/USDA) in the mid to low 3's.

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NMLS380736, 4475

VERY nice improvement last week on mortgage rates, and we are seeing the trend continue this week. The positive side to the 3T's (Trump, Tweets & Tariffs) is rates are improving, alot. The down side is the 3T's are rolling us towards a recession.

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NMLS380736, 4475

Mortgage Rates posted a very nice improvement last week, all based on Trump, Tweets and Tariffs. Economically, the numbers were good, but traders are fearing China's next move, and thus traders are selling stocks and putting their money into safe havens like Mortgage Bonds. We are carefully floating this week and the 3T will be influencing rates more than anything else.

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NMLS380736, 4475

Last week was a spectacular week for mortgage rates. As the Federal Reserve indicated that they will NOT raise rates in 2019 and may only raise rates 1x in 2020. Further concern about a recession is keep rates lower. Economic news is pointing towards a slow down, and past Fed Chairman came out today and actually indicated that the Fed may have to lower rates again. RATE ARE GREAT!

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